Hey everyone! I do these conference rankings every year so it's finally that time when rosters are more or less set for the upcoming season.
I have * next to players who are injured for the start of the 2025-26 season, confirmed to redshirt this season, or out/uncertain for another reason.
Big Ten Breakdown
There are a lot of good teams in the B1G this year but there are two I see as far and away favorites -- Purdue and Michigan. Both have national championship contending squads with great coaching and experience at every position. Don't count out the Tier 2 teams in the B1G title race either.
Purdue is led by All-American PG Braden Smith who averaged 8.7 APG last season and shot 38% from downtown. Trey Kaufman-Renn who garnered All-B1G honors last year averaged 20 PPG and should figure to be even better this year now that Matt Painter has landed a full time center in transfer portal acquisition Oscar Cluff. Cluff will provide what Caleb Furst and Will Berg could not, a glass cleaning center who can free up TKR to do what he does best. A healthy Daniel Jacobsen should be a big factor this season and don't forget 3 point sniper Fletcher Loyer who shoots 44% from behind the arc. I am dazzled by this roster that has plenty of depth in guys like C.J. Cox, Gicarri Harris, UNF shooter Liam Murray, and international point guard Omer Mayer who can spell Smith or play alongside him at times. Purdue is a preseason Top 5 team and a Final Four threat!
Dusty May's inaugural season in Ann Arbor was a success but gone to the NBA are Vlad Goldin and Danny Wolf. May managed to reel in prized portal piece Yaxel Lendeborg who should be the unquestioned leader of this team. Lendeborg can pass, rebound, and defend at a high level and his 3 point shot is serviceable. Next to him will be Morez Johnson who plays with soft hands and a bully attitude around the rim. Elliot Cadeau is a big PG get from UNC. Gayle, Burnett, and Cason will be the other guards. The piece to watch is Aday Mara who played well down the stretch at UCLA last year. If May can work his magic then Mara will be a solid piece to play with Lendeborg's versatility. Trey McKenney and Winters Grady will probably see the court as freshmen. Michigan is hot on Purdue's heals.
This year's Fighting Illini has a distinct Balkan flavor to it. The Ivisic brothers, David Mirkovic, Mihailo Petrovic, and Andrej Stojakovic are all here to represent. Stojakovic has size, shooting ability, and a high basketball IQ and should make an immediate impact. Petrovic is a pure PG and paired with Kylan Boswell will be one of the better backcourts in the B1G. Tomislav and Zvonimir Ivisic are both bigs who can shoot. With Ty Rodgers injured, the freshmen will have to step up to provide some depth but this Illinois team is going to be a problem. UCLA was missing a PG who could take over a game but they found their man in New Mexico transfer Donovan Dent. He's a great attacker, can shoot well from deep, and is a maestro at distributing the ball. Surrounding him will be all sorts of capable shooters in Tyler Bilodeau, Skyy Clark, Eric Dailey, and Jamar Brown. The key to this team is Xavier Booker. Can he be what he was promised to be two years ago at MSU? If he can't take a leap I fear this team may struggle defensively and on the glass, especially with Aday Mara now in Ann Arbor. Sparty loses Jase Richardson to the draft and Jaden Akins to graduation. The upcoming star for Tom Izzo is set to be athletic dynamo Coen Carr. Carr is one of the best dunkers in the country and plays with incredible strength. If he can improve his shooting he's going to be one of the best players in the B1G. Jeremy Fears is there to run the point and Jaxon Kohler and Carson Cooper will man the post. The two freshmen, Cam Ward and Jordan Scott should be immediate contributors and I love the addition of shooter Trey Fort. Izzo's team will find it's stride by March and watch out when they do. Wisconsin loses scoring machine John Tonje but waiting in the wings is John Blackwell who will now be the focal point of Greg Gard's offense. Austin Rapp is a great shooting big addition and I love the tenacity and edge that guys like Nick Boyd and Andrew Rohde bring. Wisconsin is inevitable as a top third B1G team.
Oregon's core of Jackson Shelstad-Nate Bitte-Kwame Evans Jr. is one that can carry this team far. Jackson Shelstad is a good decision maker and shooter. Nate Bittle is a two way star who can defend the rim and step away and make shots on the offensive end. Evans can handle the ball as a big wing. But what does Dana Altman get out of the rest of his squad? That is the question that will determine if Oregon is a good team or a great team. Ohio State, much like Oregon, also has a power trio in Bruce Thornton, John Mobley, and Devin Royal. Thornton and Mobley are both flamethrower shooters. Royal brings physicality and a high basketball IQ. OSU's clear question is depth. Ojianwuna might miss the season with an injury and the rest of their bench is unproven. But this is still a tourney team if Diebler can find some help for his golden triumvirate. Buzz Williams takes over at Maryland and he's won everywhere he's been. My question for this entirely new Terps squad is shooting. Rice, Watts, and Adams will have to find their shot to give this team enough space to run their ideal offense. What this team does have is defense, strength, and good coaching. That should be enough to get them to the Big Dance.
Darian DeVries is now the head coach in Bloomington and he brings along his son Tucker. Lamar Wilkerson is a lights out shooter from downtown, Reed Bailey is a versatile big man who can pass, Conerway is a defensive attack dog, and I love the bench options in guys like freshman Trent Sisley and transfers Nick Dorn, Jasai Miles, Jason Drake, and Josh Harris. Indiana will be a bubble team but I expect them to get it done on the backs of DeVries and Wilkerson. Iowa hired Drake coach Ben McCollum who brings with him All-American candidate Bennett Stirtz who is an all around stud. I love Folgueiras from Robert Morris who has tourney experience and can shoot, pass, and rebound. But how do the rest of the guys who transferred from Drake fare in the Big Ten? I believe in Stirtz but the others might have some adjusting to do. Washington added a pair of USC transfers in Desmond Claude and Wesley Yates III to lead this team. I love the depth here and I am excited to see Hannes Steinbach and J.J. Mandaquit. This team will be much improved from a dead last finish but they might not quite yet be a tourney team. USC was dealt a blow when they lost Alijah Arenas for the year to an injury. Rodney Rice and Chad Baker-Mazara will be great for Eric Musselman but I am not sold on the rest of this squad of mid-to-low major players.
Brice Williams and Juwan Gary are big losses for Fred Hoiberg but he does get Rienk Mast back from injury. I don't like the guards in Lincoln but Mast, Buyuktuncel, and Jarusevicius should be a decent front court. Northwestern returns All-Big Ten player Nick Martinelli and a few others from a team who finished in the bottom half last year. I worry about the 5 spot as I don't think Page is the guy. Windham should have a nice sophomore season though. Niko Medved is in charge now at Minnesota and he brings in a bevy of transfers to go along with holdover Isaac Asuma. I like the hire long term but I don't think this year's squad has what it takes.
Rutgers severely disappointed despite having two Top 5 NBA draft picks in Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey. The cupboard is pretty bare in Piscataway but two guys to watch are George Washington transfer Darren Buchanan and international import Harun Zrno. Pikiell was once an up and coming name but I don't think this season is going to make Rutgers fans happy. Penn State loses their two best players in Yanic Konan Niederhuser to the draft and Ace Baldwin to graduation. Freshmen guard Kayden Mingo and international signees Melih Tunka and Tibor Mirtic are the guys to watch but this Nittany Lions squad looks pretty down and out.
Tier Rankings:
Tier 1 (Title Contenders) - Purdue, Michigan
Tier 2 (Top 25 Teams) - Illinois, UCLA, Michigan State, Wisconsin
Tier 3 (Tourney) - Oregon, Ohio State, Maryland
Tier 4 (Bubble) - Indiana, Iowa, Washington, USC
Tier 5 (No Man's Land) - Nebraska, Minnesota, Northwestern
Tier 6 (Basement) - Rutgers, Penn State
Predicted Number of Tourney Bids: 11
All-Conference Predictions
All-B1G 1st Team: Braden Smith, Bennett Stirtz, John Blackwell, Yaxel Lendeborg, Trey Kaufman-Renn
All-B1G 2nd Team: Bruce Thornton, Donovan Dent, Andrej Stojakovic, Tucker DeVries, Nate Bittle
All-B1G 3rd Team: Jackson Shelstad, Fletcher Loyer, Coen Carr, Nick Martinelli, Tomislav Ivisic
Player of the Year: Braden Smith
Coach of the Year: Matt Painter
Freshmen of the Year: Cam Ward
Here are my rankings (but keep in mind the tiers where I could realistically see those teams finishing in any order within their respective tiers):
#1 Purdue Boilermakers
Departures: Caleb Furst, Camden Heide, Myles Colvin, Will Berg, Brian Waddell
Returning: Braden Smith, Trey Kaufman-Renn, Fletcher Loyer, C.J. Cox, Gicarri Harris, Daniel Jacobsen, Raleigh Burgess, Jack Benter
Additions: Oscar Cluff, Liam Murray, Omer Mayer, Antione West Jr.
Projected Starting Lineup: Smith, Cox, Loyer, Kaufman-Renn, Cluff
#2 Michigan Wolverines
Departures: Vladislav Goldin, Danny Wolf, Tre Donaldson, Rubin Jones, Sam Walters, Justin Pippen, Jace Howard, Phat Phat Brooks
Returning: Nimari Burnett, Roddy Gayle Jr., L.J. Cason, Will Tschetter, Oscar Goodman
Additions: Yaxel Lendeborg, Elliot Cadeau, Morez Johnson Jr., Aday Mara, Trey McKenney, Winters Grady, Malick Kordel, Patrick Liburd
Projected Starting Lineup: Cadeau, Gayle Jr., Burnett, Lendeborg, Johnson Jr.
#3 Illinois Fighting Illini
Departures: Kasparas Jakucionis, Will Riley, Tre White, Morez Johnson Jr., Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn, Carey Booth
Returning: Kylan Boswell, Tomislav Ivisic, Ben Humrichous, Ty Rodgers*, Jake Davis, Jason Jakstys
Additions: Andrej Stojakovic, Zvonimir Ivisic, Mihailo Petrovic, David Mirkovic, Brandon Lee, Keaton Wagler, Blake Fagbemi
Projected Starting Lineup: Petrovic, Boswell, Stojakovic, Mirkovic, T. Ivisic
#4 UCLA Bruins
Departures: Kobe Johnson, Dylan Andrews, Lazar Stefanovic, Sebastian Mack, Aday Mara, William Kyle III, Dominick Harris, Devin Williams
Returning: Tyler Bilodeau, Skyy Clark, Eric Dailey Jr., Trent Perry, Brandon Williams, Eric Freeny
Additions: Donovan Dent, Jamar Brown, Xavier Booker, Steven Jamerson II, Anthony Peoples Jr., Markell Alston
Projected Starting Lineup: Dent, Clark, Dailey Jr., Bilodeau, Booker
#5 Michigan State Spartans
Departures: Jase Richardson, Jaden Akins, Tre Holloman, Frankie Fidler, Szymon Zapala, Xavier Booker, Gehrig Norman
Returning: Jeremy Fears Jr., Coen Carr, Jaxon Kohler, Carson Cooper, Kur Teng, Jesse McCulloch
Additions: Trey Fort, Kaleb Glenn*, Divine Ugochukwu, Denham Wojcik, Jordan Scott, Cam Ward
Projected Starting Lineup: Fears Jr., Fort, Carr, Ward, Kohler
#6 Wisconsin Badgers
Departures: John Tonje, Max Klesmit, Steven Crowl, Kamari McGee, Xavier Amos, Carter Gilmore, Camren Hunter, Daniel Freitag, Chris Hodges, Markus Ilver
Returning: John Blackwell, Nolan Winter, Jack Janicki, Riccardo Greppi, Jack Robison
Additions: Nick Boyd, Andrew Rohde, Austin Rapp, Braeden Carrington, Elijah Gray, Aleksas Bieliauskas, Zach Kinziger, Will Garlock, Hayden Jones
Projected Starting Lineup: Boyd, Blackwell, Rohde, Rapp, Winter
#7 Oregon Ducks
Departures: T.J. Bamba, Keeshawn Barthelemy, Brandon Angel, Jadrian Tracey, Supreme Cook, Mookie Cook, Ra'Heim Moss
Returning: Jackson Shelstad, Nate Bittle, Kwame Evans Jr., Jamari Phillips, Dezdrick Lindsay, Oleksandr Kobzystyi
Additions: Sean Stewart, TK Simpkins, Devon Pryor, Miles Goodman, Miles Stewart, Ege Demir, J.J. Frakes
Projected Starting Lineup: Shelstad, Simpkins, Lindsay, Evans Jr., Bittle
#8 Ohio State Buckeyes
Departures: Meechie Johnson Jr., Micah Parrish, Sean Stewart, Evan Mahaffey, Aaron Bradshaw, Ques Glover, Austin Parks
Returning: Bruce Thornton, Devin Royal, John Mobley Jr., Taison Chatman, Colin White, Ivan Njegovan, Kalen Etzler
Additions: Christoph Tilly, Brandon Noel, Josh Ojianwuna*, Gabe Cupps, A'mare Bynum, Matthew Grujicic, Myles Herro
Projected Starting Lineup: Thornton, Mobley Jr., Royal, Noel, Tilly
#9 Maryland Terrapins
Departures: Ja'Kobi Gillespie, Derik Queen, Julian Reese, Rodney Rice, Selton Miguel, Jordan Geronimo, DeShawn Harris-Smith, Tafara Gapare, Jay Young, Malachi Palmer, Chance Stephens, Braden Pierce
Returning: None
Additions: Myles Rice, Isaiah Watts, Elijah Saunders, Pharrel Payne, Solomon Washington, David Coit, Rakease Passmore, George Turkson, Andre Mills, Collin Metcalf, Darius Adams, Aleks Alston, Guillermo Del Pino, Jaziah Harper
Projected Starting Lineup: Rice, Adams, Washington, Saunders, Payne
#10 Indiana Hoosiers
Departures: Oumar Ballo, Trey Galloway, Myles Rice, Mackenzie Mgbako, Malik Reneau, Luke Goode, Bryson Tucker, Kanaan Carlyle, Anthony Leal, Gabe Cupps, Jakai Newton
Returning: None
Additions: Tucker DeVries, Lamar Wilkerson, Reed Bailey, Conor Enright, Tayton Conerway, Jasai Miles, Nick Dorn, Jason Drake, Josh Harris, Sam Alexis, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Trent Sisley
Projected Starting Lineup: Enright, Conerway, Wilkerson, DeVries, Bailey
#11 Iowa Hawkeyes
Departures: Payton Sandfort, Josh Dix, Owen Freeman, Brock Harding, Drew Thelwell, Pryce Sandfort, Seydou Traore, Ladji Dembele, Riley Milvey, Chris Tadjo, Isaiah Johnson-Arigu
Returning: Cooper Koch
Additions: Bennett Stirtz, Alvaro Folgueiras, Brendan Hausen, Tavion Banks, Cam Manyawu, Isaia Howard, Kael Combs, Joey Matteoni, Trey Thompson, Trevin Jirak, Tate Sage
Projected Starting Lineup: Stirtz, Hausen, Banks, Folgueiras, Manyawu
#12 Washington Huskies
Departures: Great Osobor, Tyler Harris, Mekhi Mason, D.J. Davis, Tyree Ihenacho, Luis Kortright, Wilhelm Breidenbach, Jase Butler, Christian King, KC Ibekwe, Dominique Diomande, Chris Conway
Returning: Zoom Diallo, Franck Kepnang
Additions: Desmond Claude, Wesley Yates III, Jacob Ognacevic, Quimari Peterson, Lathan Sommerville, Bryson Tucker, Christian Nitu, Mady Traore, J.J. Mandaquit, Courtland Mildrew, Hannes Steinbach, Jasir Rencher
Projected Starting Lineup: Peterson, Claude, Yates III, Ognacevic, Sommerville
#13 USC Trojans
Departures: Desmond Claude, Saint Thomas, Wesley Yates III, Chibuzo Agbo, Rashaun Agee, Matt Knowling, Josh Cohen, Clark Slajchert, Bryce Pope, Harrison Hornery, Kevin Patton Jr., Jalen Shelley, Isaiah Elohim
Returning: Terrance Williams II
Additions: Rodney Rice, Chad Baker-Mazara, Jacob Marsh, Amarion Dickerson, Ezra Ausar, Jacob Cofie, Ryan Cornish, Gabe Dynes, Jaden Brownell, E.J. Neal, Alijah Arenas*, Jerry Easter
Projected Starting Lineup: Marsh, Rice, Baker-Mazara, Williams II, Cofie
#14 Nebraska Cornhuskers
Departures: Brice Williams, Juwan Gary, Rollie Worster, Andrew Morgan, Braxton Meah, Ahron Ulis, Gavin Griffiths, Nick Janowski
Returning: Rienk Mast, Connor Essegian, Burke Buyuktuncel, Sam Hoiberg, Braden Frager
Additions: Jamarques Lawrence, Pryce Sandfort, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Kendall Blue, Jared Garcia, Will Cooper, Fridrik Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes
Projected Starting Lineup: Lawrence, Essegian, Sandfort, Buyuktuncel, Mast
#15 Northwestern Wildcats
Departures: Brooks Barnhizer, Jalen Leach, Ty Berry, Matthew Nicholson, Luke Hunger, Blake Barkley, Keenan Fitzmorris
Returning: Nick Martinelli, Justin Mullins, Jordan Clayton, K.J. Windham, Angelo Ciaravino
Additions: Jayden Reid, Max Green, Arrinten Page, Tre Singleton, Jake West, Tyler Kropp, Cade Bennerman, Phoenix Gill
Projected Starting Lineup: Reid, Windham, Green, Martinelli, Page
#16 Minnesota Golden Gophers
Departures: Dawson Garcia, Lu'Cye Patterson, Mike Mitchell Jr., Brennan Rigsby, Femi Odukale, Frank Mitchell, Parker Fox, Trey Edmonds, Kadyn Betts, Caleb Williams
Returning: Isaac Asuma, Grayson Grove
Additions: Langston Reynolds, Bobby Durkin, Chansey Willis Jr., B.J. Omot, Robert Vaihola, Jaylen Crocker-Johnson, Cade Tyson, Nehemiah Turner, Chance Stephens, Maximus Gizzi, Kai Shinholster
Projected Starting Lineup: Asuma, Reynolds, Omot, Durkin, Vaihola
#17 Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Departures: Ace Bailey, Dylan Harper, Jeremiah Williams, Zach Martini, Tyson Acuff, Martin Sommerville, Jordan Derkack, P.J. Hayes IV
Returning: Dylan Grant, Jamichael Davis, Emmanuel Ogbole, Bryce Dortch
Additions: Darren Buchanan Jr., Tariq Francis, Baye Fall, Dorian Jones, Denis Badalau, Harun Zrno, Chris Nwuli, Lino Mark, Gevonte Ware, Kaden Powers
Projected Starting Lineup: Francis, Davis, Grant, Buchanan Jr., Ogbole
#18 Penn State Nittany Lions
Departures: Ace Baldwin Jr., Yanic Konan Niederhauser, Zach Hicks, Nick Kern Jr., Puff Johnson, D'Marco Dunn, Jahvin Carter, Miles Goodman, Kachi Nzeh, Hudson Ward
Returning: Freddie Dilione V, Dominick Stewart, Eli Rice
Additions: Josh Reed, Sasa Ciani, Kayden Mingo, Melih Tunka, Tibor Mirtic, Mason Blackwood, Justin Houser, Ivan Juric, Reggie Grodin
Projected Starting Lineup: Mingo, Tunka, Dilione V, Reed, Juric