r/CredibleDefense 18d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 22, 2025

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/D_Silva_21 18d ago

Lots of launch footage and articles about the FP-5 missile now. Hopefully we see some impact footage in the next week

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u/For_All_Humanity 17d ago edited 17d ago

I think that we will know if the FP-5 is really being produced in claimed numbers within the quarter. If they’re actually producing ~1 a day with production actively ramping then they should be able to generate a meaningful salvo about two times a month at least unless they want to use them individually.

Really, salvoes seem like the best option, as you have a higher likelihood of a complete success.

Though, perhaps they’re saving missiles in order to launch several days of salvoes at once, aiming to cripple some sector of the Russian economy/MIC.

For me though, I’ll withhold my faith in their claimed production numbers until we start seeing them used en mass.

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u/D_Silva_21 17d ago

In theory they could do 1 a week with 7 of the big ones and a bunch of FP-1 as well. Most likely one fp-5 would get through if they're all going at one target

Will definitely be interesting to see what happens