r/CredibleDefense 12d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 27, 2025

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/scarlet_sage 12d ago

I'm not sure whether this belongs here or in its own top-level post.

On BlueSky (and for all I know, other social media), ‪OSINTtechnical‬ @osinttechnical.bsky.social‬ began a skeet thread with

New from @truth.bsky.social, the U.S. is massing reconnaissance aircraft near Venezuela as the U.S. deploys nearly a dozen ships into the region.

The evidence adduced includes these items (see the thread for more details)

  • Puerto Rico now hosts a detachment of Navy P-8A Poseidons. They include AN/APS-154 AAS (Advanced Airborne Sensor) and MUOS satellite upgrade. One with both, which allows them to direct strikes.
  • "Earlier this month, the U.S announced that it would deploy a warship and at least one attack submarine to the southern Caribbean Sea."
  • But it now includes 3 Arleigh Burkes, and the Iwo Jima Amphibious Ready Group with thousands of Marines.
  • And a Ticonderoga-class cruiser and a Los Angeles-class sub.

Unfortunately, I don't know a way to induce BlueSky to show a post and all its descendants. Going to the base post shows a lot of them, but I have to click on some places to get them all. (This might be an imitation of how Twitter worked?}

Has this been discussed by anyone else? Does it look plausible, or like fear-mongering? Is there reason to think that it's aimed at Venezuela in particular, or might it be the Panama Canal, which the Trump Administration has threatened?

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u/Difficult-Web244 12d ago

Trump has recently taken aim at the cartels operating in Central America and Mexico. I'd imagine these actions are more likely aimed at the cartels than at Venezuela, especially because the Trump administration approved drilling deals in Venezuela and has interest in the government's stability.

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u/Rhauko 11d ago

Rubio claims Maduro is a cartel leader

https://x.com/SecRubio/status/1949424526401692094