r/CredibleDefense 8d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread September 01, 2025

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/teethgrindingaches 8d ago

The Australian Lowy Institute published a brief rebuttal today of various claims that Indonesia's recent acquisition of Turkish ballistic missiles was targeted at China w.r.t. SCS disputes. The missiles are neither deployed nor equipped for that role; they lack the range, and even if they didn't, they lack the terminal guidance capabilities to target ships.

The location of the KHAN missile system likely signals its strategic objective. With a maximum range of 280 kilometres, its missiles cannot even reach Brunei from its present position, let alone the South China Sea. It is currently deployed in Kalimantan, Borneo, the site of Indonesia’s future capital. The defence plan for the new capital calls for a layered defence system anchored in stronger air and maritime capabilities.

With its limited range and land-attack profile, the KHAN missile system is optimised for striking fixed targets and is not suitable for engaging moving warships.

It is clear the KHAN ballistic missile system is neither aimed at China nor designed for operations in the South China Sea. Its deployment reflects Jakarta’s other strategic priorities: protecting the future capital in Borneo and reinforcing its position in overlapping maritime claims with Malaysia.