r/CredibleDefense 8d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread September 01, 2025

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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14

u/Awkward-Ad-5359 7d ago

Is Russia ever having problems to find more soldiers?

Russian meatwaves are relentless. If they start having problems to find soldiers it will (hopefully) give Ukrainians some time to rest by slowing down the meatwave tactic to some degree.

I'd appreciate it if you shared what you know about that.

15

u/IntroductionNeat2746 7d ago

On that topic, I've been wondering for a while now about Russian sign in bonus. Earlier this year there was a big focus on that and the bonus kept going up, but I haven't heard anything in months.

20

u/Corbakobasket 7d ago

It's stagnating, and in some regions it even decreased.

It appears that, partly to the broader effort to make the war cheaper, enlistment bonus have been revised down. Also most of Russias regions were sourcing money from their own funds and eventually ran out.

That being said I don't know if it discouraged people from enlisting.

14

u/IntroductionNeat2746 7d ago

That being said I don't know if it discouraged people from enlisting.

That's the million ruble question. In theory, it's definitely should, but with a worsening economy, people might be willing to volunteer for less money.

21

u/mirko_pazi_metak 7d ago

It's currently a life-changing sum - one could say once-in-a-lifetime opportunity - for the contractnik and their family. In many cases it's more money than they would bring back to their family over a whole lifetime of  paychecks minus the booze.

This is why Russians aren't complaining about the war dead - these are all people who made this deal willingly and so did their families, now living on their death-in-service payouts and without their drunkard deadbeat husband/father/son.

Once this balance changes and it's no longer buying them a flat and a (Chinese) car, fewer and fewer will join up and instead opt to smuggle petrol or similar as the the worsening economy under government restrictions is always followed by gray economy & black markets. 

I'm sure Putin is well aware of the danger and will try to balance things out - and he seemed well capable in doing so, so far. My hope is that as Russia gets stretched thin everywhere then something unexpected happens and shakes thibgs apart. Doesn't have to be another Prigozhin-like mutiny - just a sudden oil price drop which Saudis alone can orchestrate, or similar. We'll see!