r/CredibleDefense 8d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread September 01, 2025

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

* Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do _not_ cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

* Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

* Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

* Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/Glideer 6d ago

However all of this is predicated on the belief that Putin would use a nuke, and in your telling, he would pay no price for it.

I said that?! I am consistently saying in every post that they would pay a significant price in sanctions (including by China and India), diplomatic fallout and worldwide reputational damage.

What I am saying is that the threat of the West (or Europe alone) conventionally attacking Russia in retaliation is totally non-credible.

Also, I don't think that, even if Russia used nukes, they would be dirty nukes. They would probably use nukes in air-burst mode, which leaves no significant radiation - not in Ukraine and certainly not in NATO countries.

Why don't they do that? The profit/loss calculation is currently completely against it. They are advancing, and their army keeps growing, so why risk massive sanctions and international odium?

My comment is just referring to the ridiculous notion that, in case Russia used nukes in Ukraine, the West would attack it. That's fine for public consumption but utterly lacks any logic.

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u/ViriditasBiologia 6d ago

You do realize, the invasion, the current president of the United States, and much foreign policy, "lacks logic" the world doesn't work like this subreddit.