r/Kamloops • u/Physical-Village2111 • Apr 26 '25

Politics Observation 48 hours before election day

Is it just me or others have notice the trend that all the social media (including redditt), and all the tv station there is such a big liberal presence and supporting the liberals, but when talking/overhearing conversation in coffee shops, parks, workplaces etc its overwhelming the support for the conservatives.

Feels like there is two reality around me, one that lives in my cell phone screen and the other out and about.

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u/Diligent-Fact-309 Apr 26 '25

Definitely see the same trend… it was the same with the US election…judging by what I saw in the media Kamala was going to win by a landslide.

2

u/Quietbutgrumpy Apr 26 '25

It appeared to me the media was supporting Harris but all the polls said Trump.

1

u/twotoonies Apr 26 '25

I was fed the same information as you. Polls all suggested Trump but all of the pendants were saying Harris.

-2

u/PayOne86 Apr 26 '25

The polls were predicting Harris , she was all but guaranteed to take all the swing states .

6

u/Quietbutgrumpy Apr 26 '25

That was not my impression.

2

u/nowherelefttodefect Apr 26 '25

The polls were not predicting Harris. Any proper aggregating and weighting of the polls made it clear that it was going to be close with several swing states being tossups but leaning Trump.

People see what they want to see in polls.

1

u/professcorporate Apr 27 '25

This re-writing of history that people keep on chanting is truly bizarre. You know that the polling history, from just a few months ago, is easily checkable online for the people who've forgotten it, right?

Look at aggregation. Electoral Vote is a good one - their election day posting https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2024/Pres/Maps/Nov05.html had statistical ties (leads less than the margin of error, and thus impossible to declare) in Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Flash forward a couple of days to the real life results (https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2024/Pres/Maps/Nov10.html), aaaaaand: Statistical ties in Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.

The polls were telling us that it was an unpredictable toss-up, and that's exactly what happened.