There is no way in hell that an air campaign will permanently kill the Iranian nuclear program. It might set it back but they can just start over once the campaign ends. Assuming the regime is still there of course.
the play currently seems to be crush the current government, remove the IRGC so they can't stabilize it (they've mostly bene only hitting IRGC and not regular army), given the depth of their intelligence success they appear to have a lot of help inside, at that point maybe there is a succession plan or chaos either way serves their purposes
What will Netanyahu do? No proxies left to bash, Syria might stabilize over time despite his best efforts, and Iran might become atleast "friendlier" if there is a change of government. Doesn't he somewhat require an outside enemy to stay in power? Will he start attacking other neighbours?
Bibi will do anything and everything to stay IN power and OUT of prison, 'cause he damn sure KNOWS he's corrupt as fuck and he's going to prison, along with wifey-poo, if he ever leave office. That's somethin' he and Trump share. En plus, he'll do anything for the hard right to help fulfill their Super-Duper-Mega-Israel project, or whatever it's called, wet dream thingy. I think that encompasses huge swaths of Jordan and Syria and Lebanon and Kansas. And why not? Unlike Ukraine, Trump will ""sell"" to Israel anything they want in the way of munitions. Nukes are on sale right now.
I’m honestly surprised you haven’t been downvoted to hell for saying the “quiet part” about Netanyahu out loud. Him & ben Gvir are disturbingly popular on this sub.
The guy is literally an Israeli Marine le Pen/whatever the AFD leader is called.
I’m gonna be honest, if Bibi succeeds in toppling the entire Iranian theocratic base, which by extension devastates their proxies in Hezbollah, Hamas, and Houthis, his personal rating might go up quite a bit
335
u/Papacharlie06 Jun 17 '25
If I was a betting man (and I don't gamble much) I'd say it would probably be an air campaign only.