r/accelerate Singularity by 2030 4d ago

Technological Acceleration The average person is not even aware of what magic is currently available to them

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I had three different slide decks to do today to vulgarize R&D projects for students / teachers who collaborate with my workplace. And ChatGPT's Agent Mode helped me breeze through all of them in one afternoon. Little soldier will web search details, rip out pictures from web pages or PDFs, draw its own pictures when it feels fancy, all of its own volition.

Current LLMs are intelligent and self-aware enough to:

  • Understand instructions;
  • Plan actions and follow through based on these instructions;
  • Identify and correct mistakes.

Is the power point going to be perfect? No, I'll tweak it. Is it saving me an hour every time? You bet. (And I am very productively wasting that time to wander on Reddit, don't tell).

I'm routinely flabbergasted by the literal autonomous magic current AI can achieve. And yet I still see masses going "AI is not useful / not revolutionary / hitting a wall". All I can conclude is the average person is still not even aware of what black magic is currently available to them.

89 Upvotes

18 comments sorted by

52

u/Jan0y_Cresva Singularity by 2035 4d ago

The “AI is hitting a wall” people are just incredibly short-sighted. They have been saying the same thing every week since ChatGPT launched in Nov 2022.

But pick any month of the year and look at that month in 2022 vs 2023 vs 2024 vs 2025.

Each time, what’s considered SOTA is MASSIVELY ahead of where it was the previous year. You’d only have an argument that “AI is slowing down/hitting a wall” if you could pick a month in 2024 vs 2025 and show that things hadn’t progressed much in that 12-month timespan. But no one can do that.

22

u/mattdamonpants 4d ago

Most people are only using a fraction of what CURRENT models are capable of. At this point “the wall” seems more like user error.

9

u/MiniGiantSpaceHams 4d ago

The very first reasoning model became publicly available in December 2024. That massive leap was less than a year ago. We haven't even had enough time to slow down.

Then we got new video models, new image models, and recently automatic model selection with GPT-5. Things are not perfect because they're moving so fast, but people take the imperfections to somehow mean it's slowing.

2

u/dogcomplex 3d ago

And there really is no scientific or research basis around the slowdown accusations. If anything, the trend is becoming remarkably clear, and proposals on potential scaling walls are becoming thinner.

I like to repeat that, in hopes that anyone out there might produce any meaningful argument to the contrary, because I certainly can't find any evidence of walls. Honestly might be nice to have one - just to get more time to play with these tools as they evolve.

3

u/Jan0y_Cresva Singularity by 2035 2d ago

The only thing I see them arguing is, “GPT-5 wasn’t as mindblowing as they hyped it to be.”

No shit, marketers hype things. Just because it didn’t reach your imaginary threshold of being perfect doesn’t mean it wasn’t a big leap forward in general.

But by every measurable metric, AI is still making straight lines on logarithmic scales, indicating exponential progress.

18

u/Ruykiru Tech Philosopher 4d ago

Not as relevant but I had a funny interaction the other day about how much people are out of touch with current tech. My mother was writing receips numbers on a paper and doing some math.

I simply took a photo, send to gpt with "sum" and did what took her 2 minutes in 5 seconds. She regularly uses AI and yet was still like: wow, didn't know I could do that.

1

u/torahama 2d ago

I wouldn't recommend doing that though. Giving a deterministic(precise) task to a stochastic(probability) model is a disaster waiting to happen. We don't want people using it for tax, billings, financial planning, etc.

2

u/Ruykiru Tech Philosopher 2d ago

Huh? Are you aware of what reasoning models are and how high they score in STEM and coding, compared to humans?

2

u/torahama 2d ago

Yes i do. I use it regularly for research and coding too.

But are you aware that at the end of the day you are using the wrong tool for the task? We got calculator, a deterministic model for that task already. Don't need to guess with an LLM.

3

u/7udphy 4d ago

You used the phrase but I wanted to double check - are you literally creating a PowerPoint deck? I did that to an extent (I used markdown to pptx scripted conversion) but have not found a reliable and fully efficient method. I feel like it's even easier to create a web app than a pptx, assuming you have an outline + some assets and want AI assistance to put the pages together.

3

u/R33v3n Singularity by 2030 4d ago edited 4d ago

I’m using Agent mode. I gave it the project grant application document (context, problem, litterature review, objectives, methodology, expected results, etc.) as a PDF, and my usual power point template as a .pptx. Plus instructions to make the presentation accessible to a non-technical crowd, make it ~15 slides, etc. At the end it provided a PowerPoint to download.

Overall skeleton/flow and bullet points per slide are really, really good. It demonstrates clear understanding and a good capacity to organize and synthesize. Visuals are a bit shit, those are what I tweaked. Quality was consistent across all three projects we did like that. In the end I’d say the human-AI collab ratio for a final usable presentation is ~50/50, and a huge time saver.

2

u/Shloomth Tech Philosopher 3d ago

The hate bots are getting desperate. They just contradict you and act toxic when you try to explain things or ask questions or talk about your lived experience because they know they don’t have one so they accuse you of also being fake.

If my choices are a) talk to a swarm of agents that may or may not be humans and are 80% toxic, or b) talk to my own personal bot that doesn’t actively harass and belittle me constantly, I’m gonna choose b. Of course the real best option is c which is talking to my real friends but as everyone knows they’re all already always busy

1

u/illiter-it 4d ago

Well the average person doesn't have a subscription that lets them use agent mode

1

u/Opposite-Knee-2798 3d ago

I don’t get your post. You are saying AI is amazing and the image is of AI failing?

1

u/SponsoredByMLGMtnDew 2d ago

This timeline's business module is just book report hell.

0

u/TwoRight9509 4d ago

What’s an ai?

0

u/Orfosaurio 4d ago

We are also not aware of the magic available to us; we're at best, marginally "less" ignorant than the less informed person in "high technology". The singularity is not about reaching the point; it is about recognizing the singularity.

-7

u/EconomistNo9894 4d ago

God I feel bad for students these days. I hope they didn’t have to pay for the work you didn't do.