r/btc • u/MiserableMonitor6640 • 1d ago
Question about transactions fees
When almost all bitcoin will be mined in a décade,and assuming a lot of people are hodling and using BTC as store or value What will prevent transactions fees to go moon ? I understand the argument '' as BTC appreciation is higher, transactions fees will be enough for miners" but common we all now it wont be enough
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u/PanneKopp 1d ago
Satoshi (the whitepaper) tells us, that when all 21mil Coins got mined out, Blocks are such BIG, miners can go on securing the Bitcoin (Satoshi´s) just because of earning very little fees from a lot of Transactions - if this got derailed, I would not bet on BTC .
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u/PanneKopp 1d ago
it seems almost nobody is using BTC on Chain any more, fees as transactions seem to be very low,
a natural consequence of Maxis promoting pr!nted Tethers and 3rd party custodial solutions,
in short: aka centralised banking v2.0
... read about that hijack all do tell never happened !
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u/anon1971wtf 3h ago edited 3h ago
it seems almost nobody is using BTC on Chain any more
How so? Capacity utilization is at 70% for the last year, approximately. 164.7 mln txs done to the maximum of 232.5 mln P2PKH 1-to-2 UTXOs
It's not even close for BCH, unfortunately, in terms of utilization
fees as transactions seem to be very low
It very well may be that market solves for that three-fold: delays, custodianship, other chains. Instead of fee bidding. If I'm correct, feerate will stabilize around 1sat/byte long-term on BTC
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u/rhelwig7 1d ago
BTC transaction fees mooned quite a while ago.
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u/CashDragonX Redditor for less than 60 days 23h ago
This is what makes BTC an unreliable payment network.
You cannot have TX fees mooning. It's useless.
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u/anon1971wtf 3h ago
You cannot have TX fees mooning. It's useless
Why? With total fees at 0.01 BTC per block, fees will be ~50% of block reward in 2056 and ~90% in 2072
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u/anon1971wtf 3h ago edited 3h ago
but common we all now it wont be enough
How so?
Keeping in mind this:
BTC block can fit 4.4k P2PKH 1-to-2 UTXOs currently. Let's say feerate would stay at 1sat/byte long-term: if, like right now, market solves congestions not with fee bidding, but with delaying, custodianship or use of other chains. 225 bytes each UTXO, ~0.01 BTC per filled block
So, if chain usage just stays the same dynamically, then ~50:50 reward to fees ratio in 2056 and ~90:10 in 2072, and smooth sail to ~100:0 in 2100s
And for Bitcoin Cash, thanks to ABLA, it will completely depend on demand for on-chain usage. High demand - it could go to mostly fees-based reward very quickly
Security-wise: current near-ATH of BTC in USD is translated about 800 equivalent PoW days worth of security, https://fork.lol/security/chain. If BTC would absorb bigger share of the economy and would stall in 2056, 2072 and so on, I expect this number will balance out at a lower level, but high enough to keep Bitcoin extremely secure
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u/DangerHighVoltage111 1d ago
There are two options:
Nobody transacts, fees are low and so is the security budget, hashrate declines.
Banks and the 1% use it as settlement layer, security budget is ok, because they pay thousands or even hundred thousands for each tx.
BTC is captured and crippled. Look at BitcoinCash.