r/dataisbeautiful 4d ago

OC [OC] Post-Pandemic Population Growth Trends, by US Metro Area (2022->2024)

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Graphic by me, created in Excel. All data from US Census here: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-total-metro-and-micro-statistical-areas.html

I've created similar graphics in the past, but usually from 2020-2024. This is not the best time frame as it combines the abnormal covid years with post pandemic movement.

This time frame (2022-2024) shows the most current and ongoing population trends of the last 2 years.

I also wanted to better categorize the cities into broad cultural regions vs the arbitrary geographic census regions.

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u/Worried-Ebb8051 4d ago

Love the regional categorization approach!

The Austin vs Miami contrast is striking - both "hot" markets but completely different trajectories. Austin's plateau might reflect the tech correction and remote work normalization, while Miami's continued growth suggests lifestyle migration is more durable than job-driven moves. The Southeast's dominance really reinforces the "no state income tax" migration theory. Would be interesting to see this correlated with housing affordability metrics.

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u/beenoc 3d ago

North Carolina (#2 and #7) has state income tax, so it's not just that. However, we do have low corporate tax rate and other policies that make us very good for business (and bad for workers), and the Triangle and Charlotte are growing because of jobs.

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u/SaltyShawarma 3d ago

Hot take: lower tax burdens for business negatively affect their workers and their neighborhoods. Lower tax burdens for corpos is actually BAD for business... but good for shareholder profits.

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u/StressOverStrain 3d ago

United States tax codes are so riddled with corporate deductions that tinkering with the tax rate is a fool’s errand. Raise the tax and companies will just find more ways to spend the money on things they can deduct.

It’d be far easier to just tax personal income at higher rates, especially the wealthy.

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u/gsfgf 3d ago

Also, y'all are phasing out your state income tax. Which will obviously backfire.