r/europe • u/Caciulacdlac • Jun 01 '25

Data Polish Presidential Elections exit poll

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12.2k Upvotes

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u/KitsuneRatchets England Jun 01 '25

Is the diaspora being counted as well? I think it was the Moldovan diaspora that got Moldova's EU referendum to pass, and especially with this close of a percentage and this large of a diaspora, the Polish diaspora might decide the results

4

u/Madliv Jun 01 '25

No exit poll counts for diaspora.

4

u/KitsuneRatchets England Jun 01 '25

Then whether Trzaskowski or Nawrocki wins will likely depend on how much of the Polish diaspora in America or other countries goes out and votes. I'm pretty sure most Polish-Americans voted for Trump and therefore are most likely to vote Nawrocki, but then Americans of Polish descent and Polish citizens living in America aren't the same.

1

u/FeatherlessBipedDX Jun 01 '25

Judging by votes already counted (as they are counted sooner abroad) Nawrocki has a lead among the US diaspora and the rest preferred Trzaskowski by a similar margin. Belarus was 50/50

1

u/KitsuneRatchets England Jun 01 '25

I believe Nawrocki has some chance of winning then.

2

u/FeatherlessBipedDX Jun 01 '25

Sorry, actually the rest voted Trzaskowski I am just super stressed rn 

1

u/KitsuneRatchets England Jun 01 '25

I'm still convinced that the American diaspora may still play a role.

2

u/Helpful-Coconut-792 Jun 01 '25

American diaspora is already counted and the difference is actually much smaller than expected- less than 7k votes