In the beginning of Time of Contempt, the Four Kingdoms (Temeria, Redania, Aedirn and Kaedwen) are anticipating the war with Nilfgaard and preparing an attack on the second night after the July new moon.
- Disguised Aedirnian soldiers are readied to attack Nilfgaard
- Temerian boats are stationed by the Jaruga in Dol Angra
- Nilfgaard has also set up an army in Dol Angra, and is waiting for provocation
During the night of the Thanedd coup in Chapter 4, soldiers under Aedirnian and Lyrian standards attack a Nilfgaardian border post in the Dol Angra valley.
What I don't understand is that "Glevitzingen" seemed a dead ringer for the false-flag attack on Gleiwitz (now Gliwice), which was an entirely a staged provocation by Germany (to my understanding).
Was the attack on Glevitzingen, like the attack on Gleiwitz, a false-flag attack staged by Nilfgaard, i.e., Nilfgaardian troops disguised in Aedirnian and Lyrian livery?
Or was it actual Aedirnian and Lyrian soldiers attacking Nilfgaard? (This is what Sabrina assumes, which is why she becomes furious that Demawend and Meve did not restrain themselves). We can assume that the Aedirnian forces mentioned by Aplegatt were not held back, because Vizimir's warning did not reach Demawend due to the ... interference in the matter by the Scoia'tael. So the Aedirnian and Lyrian troops were given the go-ahead to attack Nilfgaard.
Or was it indeed a false-flag attack, because of the detail that Demawend's troops were disguised -- most likely, as Nilfgaardians? Since, if they were disguised, they certainly wouldn't have been disguised as themselves. If they had put their plan into attack, it would have been a Nilfgaardian attack on the Kingdoms, not the other way around?
Were the Four Kingdoms also planning a false-flag attack, but didn't get the opportunity to, Nilfgaard set theirs in action first? Both sides were looking for a reason for war, to stage a provocation?
